AMA 263: Why the Global Growth Rate Has Been Subpar with Chris Martenson

Jason Hartman talks with Chris Martenson, co-founder of PeakProsperity.com and co-author of Prosper: How to Prepare for the Future and Create a World Worth Inheriting, about how the era of abundant, cheap energy is gone and our world needs to change with it. That doesn’t mean abandoning everything we have now, but just recognizing the actual situation and adjusting our investments/behavior accordingly. Chris and Jason also discuss the future, and whether we’re going to see inflation, deflation, or a little bit of both.

Key Takeaways:

[2:03] We’re coming up to a time when humans are going to have to organize ourselves in very different ways

[4:48] There are 2 ways humans change

[10:01] It’s getting costlier and costlier to get less and less oil out of the ground

[12:36] The easy, cheap energy from the past is gone, which explains why the global growth rate for the last 15 years has been subpar

[18:37] We’re beginning to see that raising children in a dopamine heavy technological world is creating issues we hadn’t expected when it began

[23:30] We have a lot of debt in our society, so deflation is ready to take over

Website:

www.PeakProsperity.com

AMA

AMA 262: Getting America Out of Debt with Jason Franciosa

Jason Hartman talks with Jason Franciosa, CEO & co-founder of Element 26, about the time value of money. Both Jason’s are concerned about inflation, and the two look at ways you can maintain your leverage so your returns can beat inflation, as well as how you can utilize your home loans to house hack (especially if you’re in the military).

Key Takeaways:

[5:15] Jason’s 6 ways governments can get out of debt

[7:48] The time value of money

[12:26] You have to have a way to maintain the leverage you have

[17:10] How you can utilize house hacking

Website:

www.JasonHartman.com/Masters

www.Element26.co

AMA

AMA 261: 2 Ways to Look at Inflation with Dan Amerman, CFA

Jason Hartman talks with Dan Amerman, CFA and author of books such as Mortgage Securities and Collateralized Mortgage Obligations: Unlock The Secrets Of Mortgage Derivatives, about how a heavy handed Fed has changed how inflation and housing have correlate to each other, why the Fed reacts to quickly, what the Fed is setting interest rates up to do, and much more.

Key Takeaways:

[2:45] The Federal Reserve is getting more heavy handed as years go by, and hints of a coming recession could lead to more intervention

[7:39] Housing tracked inflation better than gold until the Federal Reserve got real heavy handed after 2001

[12:28] The Fed reacts too quickly to things

[14:07] Dan’s prediction of where interest rates are about to head

[19:51] Certain Fed actions and yield curve inversions seem to have a correlation

[23:25] The 2 ways to look at inflation

[26:47] The self-liquidating debt

Website:

www.JasonHartman.com/Masters

www.DanielAmerman.com

AMA 260: Why The Survival of Our Republic Depends on the Revival of Honor with Dr. Gina Loudon, President Trump’s 2020 Media Advisor

In this off-topic 10th show, Jason Hartman speaks with Dr. Gina Loudon, co-host of America Talks Live on NewsmaxTV, certified hypnotherapist, founding writer at Breitbart and official Trump campaign surrogate, spokesperson to Donald Trump’s 2016 Presidential campaign and member of the President’s 2020 Media Advisory Board. The two discuss the political divide that’s present in today’s society and whether it’s worse now than it’s been in the past. They also discuss the 3 types of people in the world and how President Trump is one of the most misunderstood people on the planet.

Key Takeaways:

[4:04] We frequently forget to look at the WHY all this division is going on

[7:05] Are we really divided more now or is it all just sensationalized?

[12:17] The USA is actually living in the most healthy, happy, prosperous and safest times in history

[17:00] The monologue media vs the dialogue media

[18:17] The 3 types of people in today’s world

[22:17] Gina says President Trump is one of the kindest and loyal people she’s ever met

Website:

www.JasonHartman.com/Masters

www.DrGinaLoudon.com

www.DrGinaShow.com

AMA 259: Value & Technology Displacement with Rohit Talwar

Jason Hartman talks with Rohit Talwar, founder of Fast Future Publishing and author of A Very Human Future, about what we can do about the large companies who seem to be in a winner take all society, how life and body hacking are going to change the world, and more.

Key Takeaways:

[3:27] What is value?

[10:30] The 4 views people have of companies like Facebook and Google

[14:06] 3 types of exponential thinking

[18:24] Rohit’s example of pooled insurance

[23:08] What are we going to do with the people who are displaced by technology?

[26:13] Body hacking may give us advantages in areas that won’t matter in the future due to automation

[27:37] What we need to change in order to have a more optimistic future

Website:

www.JasonHartman.com/Masters

www.FastFuture.com

AMA 258: 2019 Economic Predictions by Dr David Collum

Jason Hartman talks with Dr. David Collum, Professor at Cornell University, about what all happened in 2018 and what we can expect in 2019. Jason and David discuss the skewed nature of CPI numbers, why institutional investors were able to get in to the housing market and what could cause them to get out, the impact of the Federal government potentially bailing out states and more.

Key Takeaways:

[3:03] What happened in 2018, economically speaking?

[7:35] CPI numbers started getting skewed in the 1970s

[11:00] The MIT Billion Price Project

[14:38] Is there any gain from stock buybacks?

[18:20] Ultra low rates allowed institutional investors to come in to the single family housing market

[22:40] People that criticize religion never ask the right question

[24:55] How the next unwinding will happen

Website:

Dr David Collum at Cornell

www.JasonHartman.com/Masters

AMA 257: World Economic Forum Wrapup with Thomas

Jason Hartman talks to his in-house economist Thomas about the World Economic Forum in Davos and what came out of it. Thomas gives his predictions for the next 2-3 years, why some looming deflation might be a good thing, and whether we’re in a 4th leg of the Industrial Revolution.

Key Takeaways:

[2:07] Thomas sees some deflation coming up and doesn’t think it’ll be that bad

[6:09] Price discovery happens once we’ve put all the unused assets to work

[9:42] As long as GDP growth + Inflation is higher than the 10 year note, the economy is okay

[17:37] Are the next 5 years going to give us good or are they bringing bad?

[18:46] We’re in the midst of the 4th industrial revolution and things are good

Website:

www.JasonHartman.com/Masters

www.JasonHartman.com/Properties

AMA 256: Optimistic Predictions & the US’ Hottest Coming Sector for the Next 15 Years with Harry Dent

Jason Hartman talks with Harry Dent, author of Zero Hour, about Harry’s optimism about our economy, the impact the high end real estate softening is going to have on all of the housing sector, why demographics are NOT looking good for China and other Asian countries, and more.

Key Takeaways:

[00:57] Why is Harry more optimistic about our future than usual?

[3:15] People in San Francisco hate big tech companies like Google because they’re driving up costs beyond reason

[5:31] The high end housing market is already softening, but how far down will the slowdown trickle?

[13:28] China’s demographics have them looking straight into a disaster

[18:11] The hottest coming sector for the next 10-15 years in the US

[20:58] There are 2 waves of Millennials and the 2nd hasn’t entered the workforce yet

Websites:

www.JasonHartman.com/Masters

www.HarryDent.com

AMA 255: JP Morgan Chase & RBS Lawsuits with Nobu Su

Jason Hartman talks with Nobu Su, chairman of the shipping company Today Makes Tomorrow and author of The Gold Man From the East. Back in the 2008 financial crisis, Nobu’s company was a $5 million victim of Western bankers. Nobu is now fighting back, suing the institutions that took his money and trying to tell his story so others don’t suffer the same fate.

Key Takeaways:

[1:22] What’s the status of Su’s lawsuit against JP Morgan?

[9:05] How long can our country keep going like we are?

[11:10] What is Nobu Store?

[14:59] The history of Nobu’s career

Websites:

www.Nobu.store

www.Twitter.com/Nobu__Su

AMA 254: The Future is Asian with Parag Khanna

Jason Hartman talks with Parag Khanna, author of The Future is Asian and founder of FutureMap, about what’s really going on in regards to the trade war and its impact on Asia (which doesn’t just mean China). The two discuss the role of technology in killing jobs around the world and Asia’s impact on global consumption growth.

Key Takeaways:

[1:07] What is Connectography?

[5:59] The premise of The Future Is Asian

[9:09] Parag can tell you who’s going to win a trade war with China

[11:03] Technology is killing jobs a lot faster than trade is

[15:33] Most of the consumption growth is coming from Asia

[19:24] International competition is getting bigger and bigger, making any missteps even costlier

[25:23] Companies are shifting entire operations overseas to take advantage of those markets, but that’s not necessarily a bad thing for America

Website:

www.ParagKhanna.com

AMA 253: Griftopia, the Most Audacious Power Grab in History & Vampire Squids with Matt Taibbi

Jason Hartman talks with Matt Taibbi, contributing editor at Rolling Stone and author of books such as Griftopia and The Divide, about bubbles. The two explore how Fed policy has been leading to bubbles throughout the years, how Wall Street is designed to take advantage of the average citizen and what we can learn from the history of bubbles.

Key Takeaways:

[2:47] There’s a pretty decent path from Fed policy to bubbles

[7:17] How the Great Recession came into being

[11:53] Institutions have learned how to create a bubble to profit from, but then also be prepared to make money when their own bubble bursts

[16:00] As long as trades are occuring Wall Street is making money

[17:50] How investment bankers are auctioning off America’s infrastructure

[22:30] What is the investor’s lesson from the bubble machine?

Website:

www.Taibbi.SubStack.com

www.RollingStone.com

AMA 252 – Wealth is Moving with Steven Blue

Jason Hartman talks with Steven Blue, author of Metamorphosis, about changing your business in today’s economic environment. Steven explains what’s happening in the Rust Belt, the impact tariffs are having, and the state of manufacturing in the United States.

Key Takeaways:

[1:48] What’s going on in the Rust Belt?

[4:27] Even with even tariffs, the circumstances each country allows their companies to have makes trade unequal

[9:20] The mainstay of the US is still manufacturing, but it’s eroding because of fat, happy CEOs

[16:21] Can the “Rust Belt businesses” play the same game as the high tech companies?

[19:12] A quick tip on company culture: have a Cirque du Soleil culture

[22:58] The new way of going to trade shows

Website:

www.StevenLBlue.com

AMA 251 – The Armchair Economist with Steven Landsburg

Jason Hartman talks with Steven Landsburg, Professor of Economics at Rochester and author of Can You Outsmart an Economist, about the big economic questions of the day. Steven explains why central planning will never work, the “Economic Berlin Wall” Jason proposes, and why more sex is safer sex (and how that applies to economics).

Key Takeaways:

[5:25] It’s virtually impossible for central planners to get economic issues right

[9:55] How minimum wage is taken care of by the Earned Income Tax Credit

[13:14] The “Economic Berlin Wall” in today’s society

[22:55] Using economics when considering the world’s population

Website:

www.TheBigQuestions.com

AMA 250 – The 5 Point Rule with Jeffrey Gitomer

In this off topic 10th show, Jason Hartman talks with Jeffrey Gitomer, New York Times Best Selling Author of The Little Red Book of Selling and Truthful Living: The First Writings of Napoleon Hill, about some of the great mentors that the two have had in their lives which include Napoleon Hill and Earl Nightingale. They look at what history can teach us, the right way to approach sales, and the challenges we have to face to do the right thing in today’s world.

Key Takeaways:

[5:56] The challenge to do the right thing in our society has never been at a higher level than it is today

[10:38] The 5 point rule

[15:59] The 7 Success Rules

[19:53] If you have the right service and attitude heart, sales will be easy

[26:06] If you want to learn something new, read a book that’s 60 years old

Website:

www.Gitomer.com

AMA 247 – Can US Government Afford High Interest Rates? with Mike Zlotnik

Jason Hartman talks with Venture Alliance member Mike Zlotnik about cap rates in today’s interest rate environment. Mike explains what happens to cap rates (and commercial real estate investing as a whole) when interest rates start rising. After years of artificially low interest rates, we’re starting to see rates finally rise, so strap in and learn how to navigate the waters and get some real life numbers of the true impact.

Key Takeaways:

[1:52] We are definitely in the period of abnormally low interest rates, and the Fed is raising them at a pretty rapid pace

[5:03] We’ve been spoiled by artificially low interest rates

[7:52] The inverse relationship between cap rates and prices

[12:28] A real life example of the impact of higher interest rates

[16:27] We live in a world where the Federal Reserve and the Treasury don’t have to make sense

[21:43] Can the US government afford high interest rates?

[25:59] Why are rates going higher?

[28:58] How to prepare for higher rates

Website:

www.BigMikeFund.com

www.TempoFunding.com

AMA 246 – 6 Ways to Deal with Looming Entitlement Bills

Jason Hartman plays some of his segment from the latest Cash Flow Wealth Summit where he talks about the 6 ways the US government can solve their $220 trillion obligation and which one we can take the most advantage of as investors.

Key Takeaways:

[2:57] The difference between money and currency

[5:50] The 3 basic economic maladies

[8:01] The entitlement society isn’t going to change, so align your interests

[9:45] We must understand the motivations of governments and central banks

[11:43] The 6 ways the government can deal with the looming entitlement bill

[19:23] The most likely solution the government will choose

[23:02] Inflation is the most powerful method of wealth redistribution from lenders to borrowers, old to young

Website:

www.JasonHartman.com/Properties

Jason Hartman’s Flash Briefing

The PropertyCast

AMA 245 – The Winner Take All Society with Ross Baird

Jason Hartman talks with Ross Baird, President at Village Capital Group and author of The Innovation Blind Spot, about where all the startup money is going these days. Venture capital is flowing to tech and everyone’s trying to hit a home run, not a bunch of singles. Ross discusses the danger of our current “winner take all” mentality, some options for what to do with the big companies like Google and Facebook, and why sometimes looking in your back yard for an investment is the way to go.

Key Takeaways:

[2:48] Where is all the startup money going?

[5:57] Most people in positions of power and influence are unintentionally leaving out entire swaths of the population

[8:47] We’re living in a “winner take all” type society right now

[11:18] The 3 options for what needs to happen to these big public companies

[15:04] You don’t always have to look for the next big thing, sometimes you just have to look at what’s going on right around your home town

[19:06] Everyone goes for location in real estate, but the better yield is in the non-trophy property

Website:

www.VilCap.com

AMA 244 – Inflation’s Impact on the Economy and Consumers with Thomas Young

Jason Hartman takes today’s episode to look at inflation, the trade war, and how the economy lags behind things like these. To help him with that dissection he brings in one of the new additions to his team, in house economist Thomas. Thomas helps Jason decipher his charts that show how the home sales change along with inflation and mortgage rates. All of these things add up to important tools you can use as you prepare your portfolio for the next recession we all know is going to show up sooner rather than later.

Key Takeaways:

[1:40] What you see when you compare the 30 year mortgage rate to existing home sales

[6:02] Inflation has been announced as mild recently, but how does it impact the economy and attitudes in general?

[7:37] What does the trade war mean for inflation?

Websites:

www.JasonHartman.com/Properties

AMA 243 – What Can Trigger the Next Business Cycle Recession with Matthew Gardner

Jason Hartman talks with Matthew Gardner, Chief Economist at Windermere Real Estate. The two discuss what’s going on in the macro US economy, what’s going on with home inventory levels, some of the easiest ways to lower home prices, and the Millennial’s (mostly futile) quest to save up for a down payment and more.

Key Takeaways:

[1:34] What’s Matthew’s take on what’s going on in the macroeconomy

[4:22] What’s going on with new home development? Will there be any break in inventory shortgage?

[8:35] The easiest way to lower home costs and ease the inventory crisis is by easing regulatory burdens

[12:10] Millenials are having a hard time saving up for a down payment and are asking for a loan from the bank of Mom & Dad

[14:56] Milennials want to live in the “exurbs” in townhomes, but home prices are pushing them out further

[17:21] It’s taking a credit score of 740 to get a mortgage loan these days, but even if more people become eligible there’s no inventory

[20:32] Factors that could trigger the next business cycle recession and what the next recession might look like

[24:50] Who are the “Boomerang Buyers” and how might they impact the single family rental rate growth?

Website:

www.Windermere.com/Economics

AMA 242 – Government on the Demand Side of the Economy with Bill Janeway

Jason Hartman talks with Bill Janeway, an active venture capitalist, director of Magnet Systems and O’Reilly Media, Chairman of the Board of Trustees of Cambridge in America, and author of the recently revised and updated book Doing Capitalism in the Innovation Economy. The two discuss the 3 player game and the government’s role on both the supply and demand side of the market, the digital revolution and the coming green revolution.

Key Takeaways:

[1:27] How the thesis of the 3 player game came about

[5:24] There are markets that need government pushing the supply side of things for driving innovation, but sometimes the government even needs to be on the demand side, adding income to support the economy

[9:17] If the government hadn’t jumped in on the demand side in the 2009 recession history has shown us what would have happened

[11:21] Wherever there’s a market for assets there will be bubbles

[17:05] Why the digital revolution made Bill extend his book

[24:05] We’ve got a new challenge, a new technological revolution, which is the need for a new, green revolution

Website:

www.BillJaneway.com